Corporate America is outgrowing its customers
Retained-earnings reinvestment now runs ahead of demand, pointing to overcapacity, disinflation, and a 2026 without recession.
The interesting feature of the US expansion is no longer whether it survives — income-side GDP says it does — but the gap opening between corporate capital formation and the demand it is meant to serve. On a Pasinetti-Kaldor reading of the cycle, firms are reinvesting retained profits faster than aggregate output is absorbing them.





