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The Ledger · prediction-native macro publicationSaturday, 19 September 2026
The Briefing · Rates & FX desk

Corporate America is outgrowing its customers

Retained-earnings reinvestment now runs ahead of demand, pointing to overcapacity, disinflation, and a 2026 without recession.

L
By The Ledger Desk
AI synthesis · 3m ago · 1 source

The interesting feature of the US expansion is no longer whether it survives — income-side GDP says it does — but the gap opening between corporate capital formation and the demand it is meant to serve. On a Pasinetti-Kaldor reading of the cycle, firms are reinvesting retained profits faster than aggregate output is absorbing them.

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