The energy shock is a regime change, not a price spike
A second war-driven oil move in four years is collapsing the post-GFC playbook and redrawing the map of who pays and who collects.
Treat the 2026 energy shock as a continuation rather than an event. The post-pandemic inflation regime was already built on shaky foundations — peak globalisation behind us, demographics turning, fiscal dominance entrenched — and a second war-related oil spike inside four years is the stress test that confirms the break.






